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Fulltext Utilization of a Mixture Cure Rate Model based on the Generalized Modified Weibull Distribution for the Analysis of Leukemia Patients

Omer ME, Abu Bakar M, Adam M, Mustafa M

Asian Pac J Cancer Prev, 2021 Apr 01;22(4):1045-1053.
PMID: 33906295 DOI: 10.31557/APJCP.2021.22.4.1045

OBJECTIVE: Cure rate models are survival models, commonly applied to model survival data with a cured fraction. In the existence of a cure rate, if the distribution of survival times for susceptible patients is specified, researchers usually prefer cure models to parametric models. Different distributions can be assumed for the survival times, for instance, generalized modified Weibull (GMW), exponentiated Weibull (EW), and log-beta Weibull. The purpose of this study is to select the best distribution for uncured patients' survival times by comparing the mixture cure models based on the GMW distribution and its particular cases.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: A data set of 91 patients with high-risk acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) followed for five years from 1982 to 1987 was chosen for fitting the mixture cure model. We used the maximum likelihood estimation technique via R software 3.6.2 to obtain the estimates for parameters of the proposed model in the existence of cure rate, censored data, and covariates. For the best model choice, the Akaike information criterion (AIC) was implemented.
RESULTS: After comparing different parametric models fitted to the data, including or excluding cure fraction, without covariates, the smallest AIC values were obtained by the EW and the GMW distributions, (953.31/969.35) and (955.84/975.99), respectively. Besides, assuming a mixture cure model based on GMW with covariates, an estimated ratio between cure fractions for allogeneic and autologous bone marrow transplant groups (and its 95% confidence intervals) were 1.42972 (95% CI: 1.18614 - 1.72955).
CONCLUSION: The results of this study reveal that the EW and the GMW distributions are the best choices for the survival times of Leukemia patients.
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Matched MeSH terms: Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/mortality*
Age, sex, haemoglobin level, and white cell count at diagnosis are important prognostic factors in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia treated with BFM-type protocol

Ng SM, Lin HP, Ariffin WA, Zainab AK, Lam SK, Chan LL

J Trop Pediatr, 2000 Dec;46(6):338-43.
PMID: 11191144

The presenting features and treatment outcome for 575 Malaysian children (< or = 12 years of age) with newly diagnosed acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), admitted to the University Hospital, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia between 1 January 1980 and 30 May 1995 were evaluated to determine their prognostic significance. Two-year overall survival was achieved in 67 per cent of all patients and 55 per cent of patients were relapse-free at 2 years. All except 10 patients, with identified French-American-British L3 morphology were treated with the modified Berlin-Frankfurt-Munster 78 treatment protocol. Univariate analyses of failure rate conferred age, sex, white cell count and hemoglobin level as potentially significant prognostic factors. All four presenting features retained their prognostic strength in a multivariate analysis. Race, platelet count, morphological subtype, liver/spleen size, lymphadenopathy, central nervous system and mediastinal mass involvement did not show any significant effect on treatment outcome. The 2-year survival rate was significantly different with regard to age, white cell count and hemoglobin level. However, sex was not significantly related to overall survival. These prognostic factors may have implications on future stratification of risk-adjusted initial treatment in the management of childhood ALL. Our analysis of Malaysian children is similar to what could be predicted based on previous studies in other populations.

Matched MeSH terms: Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/mortality
Clinical features and treatment outcome of children with myeloid antigen coexpression in B-lineage acute lymphoblastic leukemia: a study of 151 Malaysian children

Ng SM, Ariffin WA, Lin HP, Chan LL, Chin YM

J Trop Pediatr, 2000 Apr;46(2):73-8.
PMID: 10822932

The purpose of the study was to evaluate the incidence of myeloid antigen coexpression and its prognostic significance in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in Malaysia. A retrospective study was conducted of all ALL cases (< or = 12 years old) diagnosed and treated in University Hospital, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia between 1 January 1992 and 30 May 1995, with available immunophenotype data. Presenting features and treatment outcome of 39 B-lineage ALL patients with myeloid antigen coexpression (My+B) were compared with 112 B-lineage ALL patients without myeloid antigen coexpression (My-B) for similarity in demographic, clinical and laboratory features and their treatment outcome. My+B and My-B patients were treated with a uniform treatment protocol. Myeloid antigen coexpression was defined as more than 30% isolated leukemic cells positive for CD13 and/or CD33. The ages at diagnoses ranged from 2 months to 12 years. Median age was 4 years. The incidence of myeloid antigen coexpression was 23 per cent. Univariate analyses showed that presenting features were similar between My+B and My-B with regard to age, sex, race, FAB morphology, white cell count, hemoglobin level, platelet count, liver/spleen size, central nervous system or mediastinal involvement, presence of lymphadenopathy, and proportion of blast cells detected in the marrow. Treatment outcome were not significant between the two groups. The 2-year event free survival was achieved in 44 per cent of My+B and 57 per cent of My-B (p = 0.11). The 2-year overall survival rates were 62 per cent for My+B vs. 77 per cent for My-B (p = 0.08). This study demonstrates that myeloid antigen coexpression is fairly common and constitutes 23 per cent of childhood ALL within the Malaysian population and that it is not an adverse risk factor in childhood ALL.

Matched MeSH terms: Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/mortality
Outcome of treatment in adult acute lymphoblastic leukaemia in an Asian population: comparison with previous multicentre German study

Bosco I, Teh A

Leukemia, 1995 Jun;9(6):951-4.
PMID: 7596183

Reports on the outcome of treatment in ALL in Asian (non-Caucasian) adults have been few, and published results compare very unfavourably with results of treatment from 'Western' centres. Seventy-four newly diagnosed Malaysian patients with ALL between the ages of 15 and 69 were treated from 1986 to 1990. The clinical features and prognostic factors were similar to those reported in 'Western' series. The chemotherapy protocol utilized was adapted from the one used by Hoelzer et al in the multicentre German study. The complete remission rate was 73%. The probability of continuous complete remission at 5 years was 29% with a median duration of remission of 15 months. This compares with Hoelzer's initial results of 77% CR rate and 35% CCR at 5 years. Patients with an initial white cell count of less than 30 x 10(9)/l at presentation were found to have a significantly better disease-free survival than those with a count of more than 30 x 10(9)/l (35 vs 22%, P = 0.026, univariate analysis). There was no difference in leukaemia-free survival according to age, sex, ethnic group, or immunophenotype. These results show that the use of moderately intensive chemotherapy protocols in Asian (non-Caucasian) patients achieves similar results to those used in Caucasians. We also showed that the difficulties in 'curing' approximately 70% of adult patient with ALL are universal.

Matched MeSH terms: Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/mortality