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  1. Gupta A, Pradhan B, Maulud KNA
    Earth Syst Environ, 2020;4(3):523-534.
    PMID: 34723072 DOI: 10.1007/s41748-020-00179-1
    The COVID-19 pandemic has spread obstreperously in India. The increase in daily confirmed cases accelerated significantly from ~ 5 additional new cases (ANC)/day during early March up to ~ 249 ANC/day during early June. An abrupt change in this temporal pattern was noticed during mid-April, from which can be inferred a much reduced impact of the nationwide lockdown in India. Daily maximum (T Max), minimum (T Min), mean (T Mean) and dew point temperature (T Dew), wind speed (WS), relative humidity, and diurnal range in temperature and relative humidity during March 01 to June 04, 2020 over 9 major affected cities are analyzed to look into the impact of daily weather on COVID-19 infections on that day and 7, 10, 12, 14, 16 days before those cases were detected (i.e., on the likely transmission days). Spearman's correlation exhibits significantly lower association with WS, T Max, T Min, T Mean, T Dew, but is comparatively better with a lag of 14 days. Support Vector regression successfully estimated the count of confirmed cases (R 2 > 0.8) at a lag of 12-16 days, thus reflecting a probable incubation period of 14 ± 02 days in India. Approximately 75% of total cases were registered when T Max, T Mean, T Min, T Dew, and WS at 12-16 days previously were varying within the range of 33.6-41.3 °C, 29.8-36.5 °C, 24.8-30.4 °C, 18.7-23.6 °C, and 4.2-5.75 m/s, respectively. Thus, we conclude that coronavirus transmission is not well correlated (linearly) with any individual weather parameter; rather, transmission is susceptible to a certain weather pattern. Hence multivariate non-linear approach must be employed instead.
  2. Mazlan NA, Zaki NAM, Narashid RH, Talib N, Manokaran J, Arshad FC, et al.
    Earth Syst Environ, 2023;7(1):347-358.
    PMID: 36247032 DOI: 10.1007/s41748-022-00329-7
    The unprecedented outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has impacted the whole world in every aspect including health, social life, economic activity, education, and the environment. The pandemic has led to an improvement in air quality all around the world, including in Malaysia. Lockdowns have resulted in industry shutting down and road travel decreasing which can reduce the emission of Greenhouse Gases (GHG) and air pollution. This research assesses the impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on emissions using the Air Pollution Index (API), aerosols, and GHG which is Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) in Malaysia. The data used is from Sentinel-5p and Sentinel-2A which monitor the air quality based on Ozone (O3) and NO2 concentration. Using an interpolated API Index Map comparing 2019, before the implementation of a Movement Control Order (MCO), and 2020, after the MCO period we examine the impact on pollution during and after the COVID-19 lockdown. Data used Sentinel-5p, Sentinel-2A, and Air Pollution Index of Malaysia (APIMS) to monitor the air quality that contains NO2 concentration. The result has shown the recovery in air quality during the MCO implementation which indirectly shows anthropogenic activities towards the environmental condition. The study will help to enhance and support the policy and scope for air pollution management strategies as well as raise public awareness of the main causes that contribute to air pollution.
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